What is the U.S. Government Hiding? By
Patrick A. Heller, Market Update
July 13, 2009
The
legislative effort to audit the Federal Reserve took an interesting,
though ugly, turn last week. On Wednesday, the entire Senate
was considering an appropriations bill. Sen. DeMint, R-S.C.,
saw that several amendments had been added to the bill for
various authorizations of audits to be performed by the Government
Accounting Office. So he introduced an amendment to the appropriations
bill to add the bill calling for the GAO to audit the Fed
(DeMint is a co-sponsor of the original "audit the Fed"
bill asking for an audit).
When this happened, Sen. Ben Nelson, D-Neb., objected that
this violated Senate Rule 16, which prohibits legislative
amendments to appropriations bills. The Senate president immediately
agreed and struck this particular amendment from the appropriations
bill.
When this occurred, DeMint kept fighting. He mentioned that
the "audit the Fed" bill had widespread bipartisan
legislative support. He pointed out that Senate rules were
frequently violated, which they are. He then specifically
named each other GAO audit legislation amended onto this appropriations
bill. The Senate president acknowledged each time that these
amendments violated Senate rules, but he let them remain as
part of the appropriations bill.
The implication of this development is that the Democratic
leadership in Congress and in the White House does not want
the public to know what an audit of the Federal Reserve would
reveal. One likely revelation would be just how much gold
the U.S. government really owns versus what it tries to claim
it owns.
Last Thursday, in testimony to Congress, Federal Reserve
Vice Chair Donald Kohn stated that if the public became more
aware of the Fed's actions, should this bill became law, that
it could result in higher consumer prices, higher interest
rates and a decline in the credit rating of the United States
government. The question not asked of him is why is the Fed
taking actions that could cause such a result - but only if
the public found out what the Fed did.
Also last week, Goldman Sachs reported a theft of one of
the company's proprietary trading programs, allegedly taken
by one of the employees who helped create it. In reporting
the theft, Goldman Sachs said that usage of this program could
make it possible for the user to manipulate markets unfairly.
Let me be clear about this. Goldman Sachs admits that they
have trading software that could be used to unfairly manipulate
markets, but they don't admit to using it for such activities.
The unasked question is - why else would they bother creating
such software?
Already, there are theories of what Goldman Sachs has been
able to do with such software and why they have made a public
stink about the alleged theft rather than kept quiet. Last
Wednesday, one publication stated that the software enables
Goldman Sachs to assist the President's Working Group on Financial
Markets (popularly called the Plunge Protection Team). Supposedly,
this software reviews trading orders on the exchanges before
they were committed. In the split-second before the orders
are committed, Goldman Sachs' program can enter trades to
take advantage of the change in the market before other traders
learn of these developments.
Other theories speculate that the derivatives markets may
soon expose major losses with Goldman Sachs wanting to pre-emptively
deflect future blame that they might receive when this occurs.
Last Thursday, Rep. Carolyn Maloney, D-NY, who is the chair
of the Joint Economic Committee, revealed to this committee
that the $3.5 trillion of commercial real estate debt is a
ticking "time bomb" and a "looming crisis"
as $700 billion of this debt must be refinanced by the end
of 2009. She said that there could be a second wave of huge
losses at large U.S. banks.
There are significant stories flying around London and Washington
that extremely bad news is going to be forced into the public
eye at the end of August or in September. Among the kinds
of news expected to be revealed are further major losses in
the residential real estate mortgages, credit card debt and
the commercial real estate market. Multiple sources are indicating
that if you want to be able to purchase physical gold and
silver, you probably should plan to take delivery by Aug.
20 or so at the latest (actually there is apparently some
specific significant financial news that will be publicly
disclosed on July 22 that would have an impact on precious
metals markets, but I have no details what this involves).
Adrian Douglas, a professional commodity analyst and member
of the Board of Directors of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee
(GATA), published an analysis Saturday revealing his discovery
why the COMEX gold market reports on trading activity and
the movement of metals were not making sense. In addition
to being able to settle COMEX contracts by either delivering
physical metal or paying cash, a gold contract can be settled
by "substantially the economic equivalent" of gold.
What has happened is that many COMEX gold contracts are being
settled with shares of gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
In theory, these ETFs own physical gold covering all of the
outstanding shares, typically 1/10th ounce of gold per share.
However, there are so many loopholes in the ETF contracts
that allow the managers of the fund to effectively hold paper
contracts rather than physical metal that there is significant
doubt that the ETF could deliver gold to redeem outstanding
shares. The rules of the COMEX silver market do not (yet)
allow contracts to be settled with ETF shares.
This strategy of delivering "potentially paper gold"
to satisfy contracts requiring delivery of physical gold has
now been adopted by the Tokyo Commodity Exchange and Tokyo
Stock Exchange. Prices of precious metals took a major hit
last week. The G-8 Group of the world's largest economies
plus Russia met in Rome last Wednesday through Friday. One
of the subjects certain to be under discussion was the deteriorating
position of the U.S. dollar as the de facto world reserve
currency. The U.S. government has a strong interest in preventing
any discussion of alternatives to the U.S. dollar. One way
to "show" that the dollar is still strong and doesn't
need any replacement is to knock down gold and silver prices
significantly just before the meeting started. Funny - that
is exactly what happened.
It is difficult to see developments such as these and still
have any justification for the U.S. government's claim that
there is no manipulation of the gold and silver markets.