Food and Energy Inflation is Not Transitory By National Inflation
Association| Thursday, Apr. 28, 2011
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Wednesday held
his first press conference in history. The press conference
took place shortly after the Fed announced its decision
to leave the Fed Funds Rate at a record low of 0% to 0.25%,
where it has been for an unprecedented 28 months. The U.S.
economy is flooded with U.S. dollars and is close to overdosing
on excess liquidity. The fact that our financial markets
are not falling on the possibility of the Fed not unleashing
QE3 immediately at the end of QE2, shows that we could be
on the verge of hyperinflation with or without QE3.
The Federal Reserve currently has a mandate of both maintaining
price stability and facilitating job creation. However,
central banks don't have the ability to create real employment.
If any jobs happen to be created as a result of a central
bank's policies, they are only temporary jobs created due
to the errors and distortions of phony asset bubbles. All
phony asset bubbles that are fueled by monetary inflation
eventually burst, sending unemployment through the roof.
Almost every major central bank besides the Federal Reserve,
understands the truth about job creation, and has a mandate
that focuses solely on keeping price inflation low. The
Bank of Japan, Swiss National Bank, Bank of Canada, and
Bank of New Zealand, all have mandates that are entirely
about low inflation and don't even mention the creation
of jobs or the rate of employment. Bernanke said on Wednesday
that, "while it is very, very important for us to try
to help the economy create jobs and to support the recovery,
I think every central banker understands that keeping inflation
low and stable is absolutely essential to a successful economy."
Bernanke has decided to go down a route that no central
banker has ever gone before. Bernanke has literally invented
countless ways to create inflation that nobody else has
ever thought of. If keeping inflation low was ever Bernanke's
slightest concern, the Fed Funds Rate would currently be
north of 5% and the U.S. economy would be in a steep recession.
Bernanke has never once thought about keeping inflation
low. He has literally implemented every measure he could
possibly think of to create as much inflation as possible,
while outright lying to the American public and saying that
he isn't printing money and that inflation is under control.
Bernanke would like the public to believe that his policies
of expanding the money supply through cheap and easy money
will cause the U.S. economy to recover and unemployment
to decline back to pre-crisis levels, and that right before
price inflation spirals out of control, he can raise interest
rates and prevent massive price inflation without disrupting
the recovery. Unfortunately, this is impossible because
the recovery isn't real and massive price inflation is already
here. Bernanke's policies may have created 1 million artificial
jobs since December of 2009, after 8.75 million jobs were
lost in the previous two years, but he did this at the expense
of 310 million Americans already seeing double-digit percentage
increases in food and energy prices.
Since after the Real Estate bubble burst in late-2008,
the primary economic concern of Americans has been finding
a stable job in order to make mortgage payments and put
food on the table. Under the pressure of Congress, the Fed
printed enough money to prevent a much needed recession
that would be healthy for the long-term U.S. economy. In
its attempt to reinflate the Real Estate bubble, the Fed
has been destroying the free market and creating new economic
distortions, which caused an artificial bounce in the rate
of employment. Unfortunately, when you add together the
money the Fed has either printed or committed for bailouts
and stimulus programs, over $4 million has been spent for
each job created. The Fed would have been better off just
crediting the bank accounts of unemployed Americans with
the average U.S. income.
When asked about rising gas prices, NIA is very happy that
Chairman Bernanke acknowledged that gas prices "have
risen quite significantly" and are "creating a
great deal of financial hardship for a lot of people".
Bernanke admitted that gas is a "necessity" as
"people need to drive to work" for the artificial
jobs Bernanke created at a cost of $4 million per job. However,
Bernanke seemed to be confused when he said "higher
gas prices add to inflation". The truth is, Bernanke's
zero percent interest rates and quantitative easing are
the inflation, and inflation leads to higher gas prices.
Bernanke is directly responsible for gas prices rising
back to $3.87 per gallon, yet refuses to admit it. Bernanke
placed the blame on the growing global and emerging market
economies, and their strong demand for oil. He said that
America's demand for oil is going down, which NIA believes
is actually due to the U.S. dollar losing its purchasing
power and Americans seeing their standard of living decline.
Bernanke said there is nothing that he can do about rising
oil and gas prices "without derailing growth entirely".
The truth is, Bernanke already derailed growth entirely
when he derailed the free market. It is impossible to see
real economic growth when a government and central bank
is interfering in every aspect of the economy and impeding
the free market in every possible way. All nominal GDP growth
in the U.S., along with growth in retail sales, is solely
due to inflation. Even when the government adjusts GDP and
retail sales growth to the rate of inflation, it is based
off of the consumer price index, which NIA believes is currently
understating price inflation by approximately 4%.
Although Bernanke denies he has the ability to reduce gas
prices, he claims he can prevent "gas prices from passing
into other prices and wages throughout the economy and creating
a broader inflation which will be much more difficult to
extinguish." Bernanke obviously doesn't want Americans
to see higher wages because he believes it could lead to
broader inflation, but NIA believes rising wages would be
a good thing. Inflation hurts Americans most when the rate
of inflation is far outpacing wage increases. The fact is,
the U.S. is already experiencing broad inflation even without
wage increases.
Bernanke's brand new favorite word as of late seems to
be "transitory", which he used about a dozen times
during his press conference. Despite what Bernanke says,
NIA strongly believes that rising food and gas prices are
not transitory. Bernanke likes the word "transitory"
because he can use it to try and pretend that rising food
and gas prices are only just a temporary phenomenon and
that their current high levels aren't here to stay. Many
Americans can remember the day 40 years ago when a can of
Coca-Cola cost a dime and a Hershey chocolate bar cost a
nickel, with a gallon of gas back then costing only thirty-five
cents. Have rising food and gas prices over the past four
decades been transitory?
NIA first predicted two years ago in its documentary 'Hyperinflation
Nation', that rising food and gas prices would soon become
the primary concern of all American citizens as a result
of the Fed's dangerous and destructive monetary policies.
Bernanke back then claimed that inflation would not be a
problem and said that the U.S. risked deflation. If Bernanke
has been so wrong about the inflation that Americans are
faced with today, NIA doesn't see how anybody can possibly
believe that Bernanke will be right and that current high
food and gas prices aren't here to stay. In our opinion,
the food and gas price inflation that Americans have experienced
over the past 40 years, is likely to occur all over again
during the next 4 years. NIA believes that 4 years from
now, Americans will look back at the good old days of having
cheap $4 a gallon gas.
The last thing the U.S. government wants is for the American
public to realize that Bernanke is responsible for rising
food and gas prices. If the public demanded to end the Federal
Reserve, the government will no longer be able to spend
recklessly knowing that the Fed will be there to monetize
their deficit spending. In an attempt to make up excuses
for rising gas prices and deflect attention away from the
Fed, Congress has been pressuring the U.S. Attorney General
to investigate the matter. Attorney General Eric Holder
just announced the formation of the Oil & Gas Price
Fraud Working Group. The stated purpose of this working
group is to monitor the oil and gas markets for potential
violations of criminal or civil laws to safeguard against
unlawful consumer harm.
NIA considers this to be complete insanity. Any government
interference in the oil markets will only drive oil prices
up even higher. Oil prices are rising solely do to supply
and demand. Demand is going through the roof because the
Federal Reserve is creating a lot of inflation, and inflation
always gravitates to the goods that Americans need the most
to live and survive. Oil supplies are falling because President
Obama has ordered U.S. troops to occupy Libya. In the past
we at least made up excuses to invade countries like Iraq
over oil by claiming they had weapons of mass destruction.
Today, the U.S. government doesn't even bother. Obama campaigned
as an anti-war President, saying he would bring our troops
home from the middle-east. Instead, he has increased our
middle-east troop levels, and the sheep who voted for him
are showing absolutely no signs of outrage.