There's more than meets the
eye in the silver market By Mark Ferguson
COIN VALUES Market Analyst -
10/15/2007
Two different camps perceive
silver differently. One camp has considered silver
bullion as an industrial metal for a very long time.
Another camp of people believes silver bullion
is primarily a monetary metal, like gold bullion.
It is true silver is used for
industrial purposes and jewelry. So is gold.
Silver is a major component of film, and reclaiming
processes were set up in factories as silver's price
rose years ago. Silver played such a major role
in film that fears were prevalent that the metal's price
would plummet as the use of film declined during the
digital age.
Plummeting silver prices are not unprecedented.
The record high price of silver bullion was $50.35
per ounce, reached in trading on the Comex on Jan. 18,
1980. By April 1980, the price of silver had
dropped to about $10.80 at one point.
Since 1980, silver's price continued to plummet. It hit
a low of about $4 per ounce, or even a little less, during the
early 1990s and again about 10 years later. But in late 2003
the price of silver bullion began to climb to where it
is today, higher than $13, after hitting at least $14 last year.
What drives the silver market? Many people believe
silver's market price is predominantly based on supply and
demand.
This price is really driven by a very sophisticated commodity
trading world, rather than simply supply and demand. If you
want to delve into what's involved, you'll run into things
like short selling, lease rates (now in negative territory),
ETFs or Exchange Traded Funds, bimetallic arbitrage (between
silver and gold), and you'll see buyers quickly
turn into sellers and vice versa.
This is more involved than the average person wants to learn
about. But what has been the case over the years is that silver
tends to follow on the heels of the gold price. So
if you believe in the fundamentals of what drives gold, like
inflation and a falling dollar value, you may want to consider
investments in silver.
True, the storage costs for silver are much higher
than for the same value of gold, unless you keep it
buried in the back yard. Most people pay for the use of bank
safe deposit boxes.
One popular way to purchase silver in the past was
in 100-ounce bars. The most popular bars were manufactured
by Engelhard. Today, all of these bars are a little more difficult
to sell and may trade at small discounts.
One-ounce rectangular silver art bars and silver rounds
were also very prevalent in the marketplace in years past
and have been collected, but the market is extremely thin
for these as collectibles and they normally trade just for
their silver content.
Bulk circulated silver coins are still popular with
investors, as they have been for generations. A $1,000 face
value bag of 40 percent silver Kennedy half dollars, minted
from 1965 through 1969, will contain about 295 ounces of silver.
A $1,000 face value bag of 90 percent silver coins, lasted
dated 1964, will contain about 715 ounces of silver.
The most popular way to hold small amounts of silver today
is American Eagle 1-ounce .999 silver bullion coins
produced and marketed by the U.S. Mint through a network of
authorized purchasers.
We like brilliant
uncirculated rolls of pre-1964 US silver coins , brilliant
uncirculated sets of Franklin
Half Dollars and brilliant uncirculated rolls
of Morgan and Peace silver dollars as a great way to invest
in silver and the kind of basic silver Numismatic coins
that almost everybody likes. Click
Here to view Franklin Sets