14 Reasons Why the Economic Collapse of Japan Has Begun By Economic Collapse
Blog
| March 16, 2011
The economic collapse of Japan has begun. The extent of
the devastation is now becoming clear and many are now projecting
that this will be the most expensive natural disaster in
modern human history. The tsunami that struck Japan on March
11th swept up to 6 miles inland, destroying virtually everything
in the way. Countless thousands were killed and entire communities
were totally wiped out. So how does a nation that is already
drowning in debt replace dozens of cities and towns that
have suddenly been destroyed? Many in the mainstream media
are claiming that the economy of Japan will bounce right
back from this, but they are wrong. The tsunami decimated
thousands of square miles. The loss of homes, cars, businesses
and personal wealth is almost unimaginable. It is going
to take many years to rebuild the roads, bridges, rail systems,
ports, power lines and water systems that were lost. There
are going to be a significant number of Japanese insurance
companies and financial institutions that are going to be
totally wiped out as a result of this great tragedy. Of
course in the days ahead the Japanese people will band together
and work hard to rebuild the nation, but the truth is that
it is impossible to "bounce right back" from such
a massive loss of wealth, assets and infrastructure.
Just think about what happened after Hurricane Katrina.
Did the economy of New Orleans bounce right back? No, there
are some areas of New Orleans today that still look like
war zones.
Well, this disaster is much worse.
The truth is that this is going to be one of the defining
moments in the history of Japan. Hundreds of miles along
the coast of Japan have been absolutely devastated. Authorities
are finding it difficult to even get food and water into
some areas at this point.
Even before this great tragedy Japan was one of the nations
that was on the verge of a national economic collapse. Their
economy had been in the doldrums for over a decade and their
national debt was well over 200 percent of GDP. Now the
Japanese economy has experienced a shock from which it may
never truly recover.
The Bank of Japan is already flooding the Japanese economy
with new yen, and so we may indeed see some impressive "economic
growth" statistics at the end of the year. But just
because lots more yen are being passed around does not mean
that the Japanese economy is in better shape.
The truth is that a tsunami of yen is not going to undo
the damage that the tsunami of water did. A massive amount
of Japanese wealth was wiped out by this disaster. An economy
that was already teetering on the brink is now very likely
going to plunge into oblivion.
It is fine to be optimistic, but the cold, hard reality
of the situation is that this is a knockout blow for the
Japanese economy. The extent of the devastation is just
too great. This truly is a complete and total nightmare.
The following are 14 reasons why the economic collapse
of Japan has now begun....
#1 The Bank of Japan has announced that they have decided
to flood the Japanese economy with
15 trillion yen. That is the equivalent of roughly $183
billion dollars. This is going to provide needed liquidity
in the short-term, but it is also going to set Japan on
a highly inflationary course.
#2 Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average declined by
more than 6 percent on Monday. As the full extent of
the damage becomes apparent more declines are likely.
#3 Oil refineries all over Japan have been severely damaged
or destroyed. For example, six refineries that combine to
process 31
percent of the oil for Japan have been totally shut
down at least for now.
#4 The damage to roads, bridges, ports and rail systems
is estimated to be in the billions of dollars. The damage
done to power lines and water systems is almost unimaginable.
It is going to take many years to rebuild the infrastructure
of Japan.
#5 Right now the flow of goods and services in many areas
of northern Japan has been reduced to a crawl, and this
is likely to remain the case for quite some time.
#6 Many cities and towns along the east coast of Japan
have essentially been completely destroyed.
#7 Japan's nuclear industry is essentially dead in the
water at this point. Even if there is not a full-blown nuclear
meltdown, the
events that have transpired already have frightened
people enough to cause a massive public outcry against nuclear
power in Japan.
#8 Japan is going to need even more oil and natural gas
in the long run to replace lost nuclear energy production.
Prior to this crisis, Japan derived
29 percent of its electricity from nuclear power.
#9 Japan is the second largest foreign holder of U.S. government
debt, but that is about to change. Japan currently has about
$882 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds and they are going
to have to liquidate much of that in order to fund the rebuilding
of their nation.
#10 Many factories in Japan are closing down at
least temporarily. For example, Nissan has shut down
four factories and Sony has shut down six factories.
#11 Toyota has shut down all production at its factories
in Japan until at
least March 16th.
#12 A substantial number of Japanese financial institutions
and insurance companies are absolutely going to be devastated
by this nightmare.
#13 Japan's budget deficit was already
9 percent of GDP even before this tragedy. Now they
are going to have to borrow lots more money to fund the
rebuilding effort.
#14 Japan's national debt was already well
over 200 percent of GDP even before this tragedy. How
much farther into the danger zone can they possibly go?
Sadly, as the economy of Japan goes down it is going to have
a huge affect on the rest of the world as well. For example,
Japan is no longer going to be able to buy up huge amounts
of U.S. Treasuries. So who is going to pick up the slack?
Will our government officials beg China to lend us even
more money? Will the Federal Reserve just "buy"
even more of our government debt?
Right now there are more questions than there are answers,
but what is clear is that the Japanese economy has just
been dealt an incapacitating blow. Hopefully this tragedy
will bring out the best in the Japanese people, but no matter
how resilient they are, the truth is that this is something
that no nation would be able to bounce back from quickly.
Let us hope that the economic damage from this tragedy
will be contained and will not spread to the rest of the
world. The global economy is already in enough trouble,
and hopefully this tragedy will not cause a cascade of economic
failures to sweep the globe.